THE IDENTIFY POSSIBILITY OF DECENTRALIZED GOVERNANCE BASED ON SCENARIO PLANNING IN UNIVERSITAS TERBUKA

Abstract

This article aims to identify various possibilities of decentralized governance by prioritizing collaboration in the face of uncertainty and rapid change. This research is a qualitative study. The method used is scenario planning. The unit of analysis is the governance of Universitas Terbuka. The data collection technique is carried out with the snowball technique. The instruments developed include Identify focal issue/concern, key forces, change driver, uncertainty, selecting the scenario logic, and flashing out the scenario. The findings of this study are the existence of a focal issue that develops as sustainability both in quality and quantity. The key forces of UT are through quality demands in carrying out the government's mandate.  The triggering factors for change are community demands, technological developments, and increasing competition. Meanwhile, the elements of uncertainty include very rapid technological developments, changes in public preferences, and UT governance from PK-BLU to PTN-BH. The selection of scenarios includes the preparation of several alternatives to be tested, which includes decentralization with several alternatives, the use of AI in learning, and reviewing the current policies.  This study concludes that the concept of agile organization in educational organizations tends to be functional rather than structural with egalitarian culture and decentralization principles. The humanocracy paradigm will develop in tandem with UT's development towards an agile organization. The implication of this study is the need to test alternatives prepared through quantitative research.