Population Projection in Bantul Regency with Malthusian Growth Model and Verhulst Growth

Abstract

Population growth has positive and negative impacts in Indonesia. One of the negative impacts of high population growth is that the government will need help with regional needs related to food, housing, facilities, infrastructure, etc., if it is not balanced with quality human resources. This impact can be minimized by projecting the population and analyzing population growth trends in that region so that the government can anticipate by developing strategies to prepare for needs in that region in the next few years. In this paper, we use the Malthusian and Verhulst Growth Models to model population data. This paper aims to estimate the population of Bantul Regency using the Malthusian and Verhulst Growth Models and compare the two models. The results show that the Malthusian Model is more accurate than Verhulst Model.